Please help me rule out any reasons for not losing weight, I'm exasperated

HELP!

So I took a "break" (ish) from weight loss from the end of May until the end of June and have been in a plateau ever since. Some notes:

  • According to Cronometer, I averaged a 40 calorie deficit per day from the end of May until the end of June, which I'm counting as breaking even in case I weighed something wrong or forgot to log something or whatever. In theory, though, that would have been a 1600 calorie deficit.
  • At the beginning of July, I eased back into losing. From July 1-23, I had an average deficit of 220 calories per day, starting the month at maintenance and eating at -500 later on. In theory, that corresponds to a total deficit of 5060 calories.
  • Frustrated, I decided to amp it up for a few days and go under my BMR (yes, I know I shouldn't do this on a regular basis, and yes, I do intend to eat more going forward). In those three days, I've averaged a calorie deficit of 804 calories, totalling a deficit of 2412 calories.
  • In total, during that time my measured deficit was 9072 calories, corresponding roughly to 1.2kg of pure fat.
  • I was so confused about not losing any weight that I decided to rule out any possibility of miscounting calories, so for the past few weeks I've only been eating prepackaged food that I know the exact calorie count of, so this is not a measurement error. I also don't log exercise calories. I do use a FitBit to count general activity.

Now, here's the thing: I've gained weight. Yup, gained. According to my scale, I'm up 0.8kg, which corresponds roughly to a surplus of 6160 calories. That means that either a) my body is holding onto water as though its life depends on it or b) my FitBit is off by 200-250 calories per day (about 15% error, easily >20% if you include exercise calories that weren't logged), or c) my measuring was so bad that somewhere along the way I consumed over 15000 calories that I don't know about.

Eating at a really high deficit for a few days usually clears out your digestive system and gets rid of excess water due to things like sodium intake, thereby leading to short term weight loss, which is why I did it to make sure I wasn't going crazy. After two days of that though, I stepped on the scale and fucking gained another 0.5kg. Like... WTF?????

I've lost weight with CICO on several occasions (losing about 5kg at a time) and plateaus have happened, but this has never happened - things have always evened out to the expected number eventually.

So which of these explanations seems the most likely? Am I going crazy? Am I stupid? And, most importantly, how long should I wait before entertaining less likely explanations, like PCOS, my scale not working properly, my BMR decreasing, etc.? Is there anything else I can do?

Sorry, I'm just at my wit's end. ;(

TL;DR: Racked up a 9072 calorie deficit over the course of about 2 months, and gained 0.8kg. Have ruled out error due to measuring, exercise, and so on.

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Please help me rule out any reasons for not losing weight, I'm exasperated Please help me rule out any reasons for not losing weight, I'm exasperated Reviewed by Health And Fitness on July 27, 2020 Rating: 5

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